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Free Pick Recap 8/15

Writer: moonpicks98
moonpicks98
Aug 16
2 min read

🚀 FREE PICK CASHES! Cam Schlittler Under 1.5 Earned Runs Gets It Done

Another MoonPicks98 Free Pick is officially in the WIN column! ✅💰

Our Free Pick of the Day for Saturday, August 15 was:

Cam Schlittler UNDER 1.5 Earned Runs

💰 Odds: -106

🏟️ New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

RESULT: WINNER — 1 Earned Run Allowed

The Yankees ultimately fell to Toronto 4-1, but that didn't matter for our wager. Our bet was on Schlittler's individual performance, and he delivered exactly what we needed.

Schlittler finished his afternoon allowing just one earned run on four hits across 5⅓ innings while striking out seven Blue Jays.

UNDER 1.5 earned runs = CASHED. 💵

📊 Why We Liked the Play

This wasn't a play based on a gut feeling. The numbers pointed us toward Schlittler continuing his strong run on the mound.

Coming into Saturday, Schlittler carried a 2.21 ERA with 182 strikeouts across 146⅔ innings. Even more importantly for this particular prop, he was coming off seven innings of one-run baseball with 11 strikeouts and zero walks against Atlanta.

That recent form was a major part of the handicap.

Instead of worrying about whether the Yankees could generate enough offense to win the game, we isolated the part of the matchup we trusted most:

Cam Schlittler limiting earned runs.

At -106, we didn't have to lay a heavy price to back it either.

🔥 Schlittler Delivered

Toronto made Schlittler work, but he continued finding ways out of trouble.

His final line:

5⅓ innings4 hits1 earned run7 strikeouts

That's exactly the type of performance we were looking for. Schlittler left with the game tied, and Toronto did its real damage against the Yankees bullpen later in the game. The Blue Jays scored in the seventh and added two more runs in the eighth on their way to the 4-1 final.

That's also an important lesson in player-prop betting.

The Yankees lost. Our bet still won.

We didn't need New York to win. We didn't need Schlittler to earn a pitching victory. We simply needed him to allow fewer than two earned runs.

He allowed exactly one.

🎯 Mission accomplished.

💰 FREE PICK: WINNER!

Cam Schlittler Under 1.5 Earned Runs (-106) — WIN ✅

This is exactly why we look beyond moneylines and traditional game totals. Sometimes the best value on the board isn't predicting which team wins — it's identifying an individual matchup where the numbers give us an opportunity.

And this time, the numbers delivered.

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Odds are subject to change. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes. 21+. Bet responsibly.

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